Friday, July 25, 2008
Saturday's Saratoga stakes, part 3: Go for Wand Handicap
SARATOGA SPRINGS -- I can't get past the Bobby Frankel entry of Ginger Punch and Spring Waltz, who could easily finish 1-2. Can't bet on them or against them, so if you're playing the Pick 4, it seems like a no-brainer single. Of course, some thought that about Big Brown on Belmont day.
Saturday's Saratoga stakes, part 2: the Vanderbilt
SARATOGA SPRINGS -- There's a ton of speed in here, and trainer Kiaran McLaughlin's Abraaj could sit off a hot pace contested by First Defence, Black Seventeen, Bustin Stones and E Z Warrior. Abraaj worked a bullet 4 furlongs July 19 at Saratoga and could be sitting on a big race. He signaled his improvement on Belmont Stakes day, when he closed strongly for third, missing by only a half-length against the nation's leading sprinter, Benny the Bull.
The play: Bet Abraaj to win and box him in exactas with First Defence and Bustin Stones.
The play: Bet Abraaj to win and box him in exactas with First Defence and Bustin Stones.
Saturday's Saratoga stakes, part I: The Diana
SARATOGA SPRINGS -- Saratoga is offering a $500,000-guaranteed all-stakes Pick 4 Saturday, and I'll give you my semi-educated guesses while awaiting Friday's 2:45 p.m. "Sunset Racing" first post. I haven't decided whether I'll play the Pick 4 or just a few of the races, but here goes with the opener.
7th race, Grade I Diana Stakes, 1 1/8 miles (turf, fillies and mares 3 and up)
This is an extremely tricky race, and I landed on the rail horse, longshot Bit Of Whimsy, who has won a Grade I at the distance, has won over a course with give in it and is working well for Barclay Tagg. She's also a generous 12-1 on the morning line, which looks like excellent value.
Bit of Whimsy had better be on her 'A' game, though, because there are plenty of tough ladies in here, led by Vacare, Wait A While and Rutherienne. However, Wait A While dislikes turf that isn't firm; Vacare seems better suited for a mile and hasn't won at 9 furlongs in almost two years; and Rutherienne disliked a swampy course last time out at Colonial Downs. I'd be willing to throw that race out, though, and Rutherienne won a stakes last year at the Spa.
The play: Bet win and place on Bit Of Whimsy and key her in exacta boxes with Rutherienne, soft-ground lover Lady Digby and Dynaforce, who just missed last race against the very tough Mauralakana.
7th race, Grade I Diana Stakes, 1 1/8 miles (turf, fillies and mares 3 and up)
This is an extremely tricky race, and I landed on the rail horse, longshot Bit Of Whimsy, who has won a Grade I at the distance, has won over a course with give in it and is working well for Barclay Tagg. She's also a generous 12-1 on the morning line, which looks like excellent value.
Bit of Whimsy had better be on her 'A' game, though, because there are plenty of tough ladies in here, led by Vacare, Wait A While and Rutherienne. However, Wait A While dislikes turf that isn't firm; Vacare seems better suited for a mile and hasn't won at 9 furlongs in almost two years; and Rutherienne disliked a swampy course last time out at Colonial Downs. I'd be willing to throw that race out, though, and Rutherienne won a stakes last year at the Spa.
The play: Bet win and place on Bit Of Whimsy and key her in exacta boxes with Rutherienne, soft-ground lover Lady Digby and Dynaforce, who just missed last race against the very tough Mauralakana.
Apply Mousse liberally
SARATOGA SPRINGS -- Friday's Saratoga feature, the Grade II Lake George Stakes on the grass for 3-year-old fillies, offers an excellent French shipper, Mousse Au Chocolat. She's 6-for-7 lifetime in the exacta, with her worst race a 3-length defeat (she ran fourth) to the star French filly Zarkava in a Grade III at Longchamp in April. Mouuse au Chocolat was coming off a five-month layoff there, so she probably wasn't fully cranked, and the undefeated Zarkava is one of the early favorites for Europe's biggest race, the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe.
Mousse au Chocolat brings along her regular rider, the gifted Christophe Lemaire, and has won three times on soft ground, which is how the Spa's inner turf has been rated. Unfortunately, she's only 2-1 in the morning line, and I fear she'll be bet down because only one opponent, the Bill Mott-trained Zee Zee, looks capable of beating her. Zee Zee went wire to wire on a drenched Churchill Downs course on Kentucky Oaks day, and if she gets loose under Kent Desormeaux, she could be hard to catch.
The play: $25 to win on Mousse au Chocolat, with a $7 exacta of her on top of Zee Zee, and a $3 exacta reversing the two.
Mousse au Chocolat brings along her regular rider, the gifted Christophe Lemaire, and has won three times on soft ground, which is how the Spa's inner turf has been rated. Unfortunately, she's only 2-1 in the morning line, and I fear she'll be bet down because only one opponent, the Bill Mott-trained Zee Zee, looks capable of beating her. Zee Zee went wire to wire on a drenched Churchill Downs course on Kentucky Oaks day, and if she gets loose under Kent Desormeaux, she could be hard to catch.
The play: $25 to win on Mousse au Chocolat, with a $7 exacta of her on top of Zee Zee, and a $3 exacta reversing the two.
Thursday, July 24, 2008
Kent 0-for-2
SARATOGA SPRINGS -- Kent Desormeaux finished fourth on his second and final mount of the day, Freakstein in the eighth race, and remained at 4,999 winners.
Kent's still at 4,999
SARATOGA SPRINGS -- Kent Desormeaux remained one win shy of 5,000 after his mount in Thursday's sixth race, Karakorum Playmate, faded badly in midstretch after dueling on the lead from the start. Desormeaux didn't ride the first five races and has only one more chance today, on Freakstein in the eighth race, scheduled for 4:57 p.m.
Top of the world
SARATOGA SPRINGS -- I've ripped up mutuel tickets at 77 tracks all over the globe and have yet to find a better place to watch a race than the roof of the press box at Saratoga. The main track is small enough (a mile circumference) that if your horse has colors that stand out, you don't even need binoculars.
The fifth race Thursday was satisfying to me from an artistic and financial perspective. I stood high above it all as I watched my suggested play of the day (see yesterday's blog if you think I'm making it up) go wire to wire and pay $6.10. Thank you, Mine All Mine, for making the afternoon feel like it was all me. Too bad I didn't bet more than $20 on the maiden filly trained by 2-year-old demon Wesley Ward. Even when you win, you can get aggravated.
The fifth race Thursday was satisfying to me from an artistic and financial perspective. I stood high above it all as I watched my suggested play of the day (see yesterday's blog if you think I'm making it up) go wire to wire and pay $6.10. Thank you, Mine All Mine, for making the afternoon feel like it was all me. Too bad I didn't bet more than $20 on the maiden filly trained by 2-year-old demon Wesley Ward. Even when you win, you can get aggravated.
Wet and mushy
SARATOGA SPRINGS -- There is a permanent Saratoga Lake, and now it has company, because heavy rain the past three days has created many temporary bodies of water on the picturesque backstretch. If another monsoon hits, dedicated horseplayers might need water taxis to ferry them to the front gates.
Unlike Long Island, where the sandy soil absorbs torrential downpours within a few hours, the ground in upstate New York allows lots of standing water. The grass up here smells and looks different, and the mud has a slimy, greasy quality I've not seen elsewhere.
Speaking of turf, there has not been a race run on it yet at the 2008 Spa meeting. Wednesday's five grass races were moved to a sloppy main track on a day when there were 44 scratches. Overnight rain Tuesday that continued throughout Wednesday afternoon limited the opening-day crowd to 18,127, almost 12,000 fewer than last year's, which had excellent weather.
On Thursday, the first race, a steeplechase for allowance jumpers, was postponed, a rarity, and three grass races were shifted to the sloppy dirt. All that was done Wednesday afternoon, so at least handicappers were forewarned. By Thursday's fourth race, there were 34 scratches and counting. The sun was out by then, but it will be a few days before the two grass courses aren't swampy. Friday's feature, the Lake George, is aptly named, and is scheduled for the grass, but we'll see about that.
Last summer's glorious weather allowed all but six Saratoga grass races to be run. In two days, they've already lost eight, not counting the jump event. I hope this isn't an omen. NYRA management does, too, and is rooting a lot harder than me.
Unlike Long Island, where the sandy soil absorbs torrential downpours within a few hours, the ground in upstate New York allows lots of standing water. The grass up here smells and looks different, and the mud has a slimy, greasy quality I've not seen elsewhere.
Speaking of turf, there has not been a race run on it yet at the 2008 Spa meeting. Wednesday's five grass races were moved to a sloppy main track on a day when there were 44 scratches. Overnight rain Tuesday that continued throughout Wednesday afternoon limited the opening-day crowd to 18,127, almost 12,000 fewer than last year's, which had excellent weather.
On Thursday, the first race, a steeplechase for allowance jumpers, was postponed, a rarity, and three grass races were shifted to the sloppy dirt. All that was done Wednesday afternoon, so at least handicappers were forewarned. By Thursday's fourth race, there were 34 scratches and counting. The sun was out by then, but it will be a few days before the two grass courses aren't swampy. Friday's feature, the Lake George, is aptly named, and is scheduled for the grass, but we'll see about that.
Last summer's glorious weather allowed all but six Saratoga grass races to be run. In two days, they've already lost eight, not counting the jump event. I hope this isn't an omen. NYRA management does, too, and is rooting a lot harder than me.
Wednesday, July 23, 2008
Sloppy start
Even in horse heaven, sometimes you have to suffer. There was plenty of aggravation to endure at Saratoga yesterday, when the opening card of its 140th season was marred by relentless rain and 44 scratches. As expected, five turf races were moved to the sloppy main track, where little of significance occurred.
Unless you had the $26.40 winner, Jardin, the highlight of the featured Grade III Schuylerville Stakes for 2-year-old fillies was a wisecrack by Tom Durkin. As Jardin crossed the wire far in front, Durkin called it “a regatta.”
Ocean Colors was the 3-2 favorite, and the daughter of Winning Colors, the last filly to win the Kentucky Derby, didn’t run like mother. Ocean Colors set the pace before backpedaling to last, but her uncoupled stablemate, Jardin, bailed out trainer Steve Asmussen with a runaway under Robby Albarado. My $5 across-the-board play on far-back Boom Town Sally was a waste of money, as was the $2 exacta box of her, Ocean Colors and off-the-board Renda.
At least Kent Desormeaux got off his schneid, breaking an 0-for-30 slump with a daylight victory on Jazz Nation in the sixth race. It was victory No. 4,999 for the 38-year-old Hall of Famer, who is named on four horses today. Desormeaux will become only the 23rd rider to reach the 5,000-win plateau.
I plan to leave the Island Thursday morning and hope to arrive at the Spa midway through the card. Reminder: Friday’s program begins at the unusual time of 2:45 p.m. The only other “Sunset Friday” card will be Aug. 30, to kick off the meet’s final weekend.
Today’s play: I couldn’t find anything I liked in the Spa’s Thursday feature, the 6-furlong Sanford Stakes for 2-year-old males. My only bet might be in the fifth race, a 5½-furlong event for 2-year-olds. Trainer Wesley Ward, a whiz with 2-year-olds, scratched Mine All Mine from the Schuylerville for this much easier spot. She’s 7-2 on the morning line but could be much lower. She’s working well at Saratoga for her return off a two-month layoff.
END IT
Unless you had the $26.40 winner, Jardin, the highlight of the featured Grade III Schuylerville Stakes for 2-year-old fillies was a wisecrack by Tom Durkin. As Jardin crossed the wire far in front, Durkin called it “a regatta.”
Ocean Colors was the 3-2 favorite, and the daughter of Winning Colors, the last filly to win the Kentucky Derby, didn’t run like mother. Ocean Colors set the pace before backpedaling to last, but her uncoupled stablemate, Jardin, bailed out trainer Steve Asmussen with a runaway under Robby Albarado. My $5 across-the-board play on far-back Boom Town Sally was a waste of money, as was the $2 exacta box of her, Ocean Colors and off-the-board Renda.
At least Kent Desormeaux got off his schneid, breaking an 0-for-30 slump with a daylight victory on Jazz Nation in the sixth race. It was victory No. 4,999 for the 38-year-old Hall of Famer, who is named on four horses today. Desormeaux will become only the 23rd rider to reach the 5,000-win plateau.
I plan to leave the Island Thursday morning and hope to arrive at the Spa midway through the card. Reminder: Friday’s program begins at the unusual time of 2:45 p.m. The only other “Sunset Friday” card will be Aug. 30, to kick off the meet’s final weekend.
Today’s play: I couldn’t find anything I liked in the Spa’s Thursday feature, the 6-furlong Sanford Stakes for 2-year-old males. My only bet might be in the fifth race, a 5½-furlong event for 2-year-olds. Trainer Wesley Ward, a whiz with 2-year-olds, scratched Mine All Mine from the Schuylerville for this much easier spot. She’s 7-2 on the morning line but could be much lower. She’s working well at Saratoga for her return off a two-month layoff.
END IT
Tuesday, July 22, 2008
Hello, Saratoga
It’s always a highlight when Saratoga comes around because it’s by far the year’s best meeting. Unfortunately, ever since NYRA extended it from the original four weeks to five and then finally to six, the quality of the racing inevitably has been diluted. Wednesday’s opening card is a typical example.
Now they could card 10 races of mules, goats and pigs on the Spa’s first day and people would still fill the place and bet tons. Wednesday’s card doesn’t look much different than a typical Belmont program in late June. It features five grass races that are in serious jeopardy of being moved to the main track by the 60-percent chance of rain, which jumps up to an 80-percent of thundershowers by mid-afternoon. Two maiden events, one for New York-breds and one for babies, are uninspiring and inscrutable. Then there’s an optional claimer that looks playable, a $20,000 claimer that serves as the finale, and the stakes, the Schuylerville for lightly raced 2-year-old fillies.
I’ve always found that the fewer races I play at the Spa, the better I do, and I might not bother to log on to my Internet account today. If the track is wet, I might take a stab in the Schuylerville with Monmouth shipper Boom Town Sally, who’s bred to love slop. She’s by Is It True (beat Easy Goer in the mud at Churchill in the 1988 Juvenile) out of a mare by Java Gold (won the 1987 Travers in the slop). If I do bet Boom Town Sally, I’ll key her in exacta boxes with likely favorite Ocean Colors and Mine All Mine.
Now they could card 10 races of mules, goats and pigs on the Spa’s first day and people would still fill the place and bet tons. Wednesday’s card doesn’t look much different than a typical Belmont program in late June. It features five grass races that are in serious jeopardy of being moved to the main track by the 60-percent chance of rain, which jumps up to an 80-percent of thundershowers by mid-afternoon. Two maiden events, one for New York-breds and one for babies, are uninspiring and inscrutable. Then there’s an optional claimer that looks playable, a $20,000 claimer that serves as the finale, and the stakes, the Schuylerville for lightly raced 2-year-old fillies.
I’ve always found that the fewer races I play at the Spa, the better I do, and I might not bother to log on to my Internet account today. If the track is wet, I might take a stab in the Schuylerville with Monmouth shipper Boom Town Sally, who’s bred to love slop. She’s by Is It True (beat Easy Goer in the mud at Churchill in the 1988 Juvenile) out of a mare by Java Gold (won the 1987 Travers in the slop). If I do bet Boom Town Sally, I’ll key her in exacta boxes with likely favorite Ocean Colors and Mine All Mine.
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